Syria Weighs Russian Military Presence as Defense Minister Signals Pragmatic Approach

Syria’s new leader Ahmad al-Sharaa and Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov posing for a picture during their meeting in Damascus on January 29, 2025.

The Syrian government is open to allowing Russia to maintain its military bases along the Mediterranean coast, provided that any agreement serves Syriaโ€™s national interests, Defense Minister Murhaf Abu Qasra said this week, publicizing Damascusโ€™ strategic outlook since the fall of the regime of dictator Bashar al-Assad.

Abu Qasraโ€™s remarks, made during an interview with the Washington Post, reflect the new administrationโ€™s evolving stance on foreign military agreements and highlight its efforts to redefine Syriaโ€™s alliances. Once a staunch adversary of Russian intervention, the former revolutionary commander acknowledged that Moscowโ€™s position toward Syria has โ€œimproved significantlyโ€ since Assadโ€™s ouster in December.

โ€œIn politics, there are no permanent enemies,โ€ Abu Qasra said when asked whether Syria would allow Russia to retain its naval base in Tartus and the Hmeimim air base in Latakia. โ€œIf we gain something for Syria from that, then yes.โ€

Reassessing Foreign Military Agreements

The future of Russiaโ€™s military presence in Syria remains a subject of ongoing negotiations. Moscow, which intervened in Syriaโ€™s civil war in 2015 to prop up Assadโ€™s regime, has since withdrawn from numerous outposts across the country, concentrating its forces at Tartus and Hmeimim. These two bases remain of deep strategic importance to the Kremlin, particularly the naval facility, which grants Russia critical access to the Mediterranean.

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov, who met with Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa in late January, confirmed that the status of Russian military facilities โ€œrequires additional negotiations.โ€ While Moscow has expressed interest in maintaining its military foothold, Damascus has signaled that any deal must be โ€œmutually beneficial.โ€

Abu Qasra also revealed that Syria is engaged in separate negotiations regarding the presence of US and Turkish military bases in the country. The new government is reportedly discussing military agreements with Ankara that could lead to a reduction or redistribution of Turkish troops in northern Syria.

โ€œThe issue of whether the United States will maintain a military presence in northeastern Syria is under negotiation,โ€ he said. Approximately 2,000 US troops remain stationed in Syria, primarily supporting the PKK-aligned Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in the countryโ€™s northeast.

Russiaโ€™s Role in Assadโ€™s Fate

As Syria reassesses its relations with Moscow, one key issue remains unresolved: the fate of Bashar al-Assad. The former dictator fled to Russia following the rapid collapse of his regime in December, and his extradition has become a focal point of Syrian-Russian discussions.

Abu Qasra declined to confirm whether President al-Sharaa had formally requested Assadโ€™s handover but acknowledged that the topic was raised during recent high-level talks. โ€œWhen Bashar al-Assad decided to go to Russia, he thought it was impossible for us to reach an agreement with the Russians,โ€ he said. โ€œPerhaps relations with them will be restored in a way that serves Syrian interests first, and then [Russian] interests.โ€

Integrating Armed Factions & Kurdish Negotiations

As part of the governmentโ€™s broader security strategy, Damascus is working to consolidate armed groups under a unified military structure. Abu Qasra confirmed that approximately 100 factions have agreed to join the Ministry of Defense, though some groups have resisted integration.

โ€œThe factions that will join the leadership of the Ministry of Defense will not be allowed to remain as independent units,โ€ Abu Qasra stated. โ€œAll military formations will eventually be dissolved.โ€

Meanwhile, Syria is engaged in sensitive negotiations with the SDF, which controls about 25% of the countryโ€™s territory. The government has rejected an SDF proposal to merge into the Syrian military as a unified bloc, insisting instead that the region must come fully under Damascusโ€™ authority.

โ€œThe military solution will cause bloodshed on both sides,โ€ Abu Qasra said. โ€œAccording to our assessment, the solution will be peaceful. We are not inclined toward a military solution.โ€

While discussions continue, Syria remains firm in its stance against any form of autonomous regions within Syria, ruling out any self-administered areas. US officials have suggested that some elements of the SDF may be integrated into Syriaโ€™s security forces, but no formal agreement has been reached.

A Pragmatic but Uncertain Future

As Syria navigates a complex geopolitical landscape, its new leadership appears willing to engage with former adversariesโ€”including Russiaโ€”if it serves the countryโ€™s broader interests. While the status of foreign military bases remains uncertain, Damascus is positioning itself as a central player in determining Syriaโ€™s future security and sovereignty.

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